Category Archives: Forex News

What is the distribution of forecasts for the US NFP?

Why it’s important? The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market’s reaction is the distribution of forecasts. In fact, although we can have a range of estimates, most forecasts might be clustered on […]

European Central Bank's Lane speaking on Sunday (Asia Monday)

On Sunday evening (January 12, 2025) US Eastern time at 2215, ECB board member Philip Lane will speak as part of a “policy dialogue” at the Asian Financial Forum (AFF) 2025, being held in Hong Kong. With monetary policy expected to turn more accommodative globally, policymakers may find themselves at a unique juncture to implement […]

People’s Bank of China briefing next week – note for the diary

China’s SCIO will hold a press conference on Tuesday, January 14 to discuss the country’s high-quality economic development. event will feature PBOC’s Xuan Changneng (Defuty Governor) and SAFE’s Li Bin (Deputy chief) will address financial support for economic development Scheduled for 1500 China time: 0700 GMT 0200 US Eastern time That alphabet soup: SCIO = […]

US non-farm payrolls data due today – the critical key ranges for estimates to watch

The December 2024 employment report is due from the US on Friday, January 10, 2025 at 0830 US Eastern time, 1330 GMT. Taking a look at the range of expectations compared to the median consensus (the ‘expected’ in the screenshot above) for the key data points: Data results that fall outside of market low and […]

"Trump’s gambit to buy Greenland may sound ridiculous, but it’s not impossible"

Politico have a good info piece up if you are interested: Donald Trump’s gambit to buy Greenland may sound ridiculous, but it’s not impossible. Its worth checking out in full, there are some interesting precedents and nuances. But, if you prefer, in summary: Buy Greenland: Trump could attempt to purchase Greenland if it declares independence […]

Fed's Collins: Calls for gradual patient approach to rate cuts

Current outlook calls for gradual, patient approach to rate cuts. Supported December Fed rate cut but was a close call. Fed not on preset path, policy well-positioned. Current outlook in line with Fed December forecasts. Economy in a ‘good place overall’ with notable uncertainties. Too soon to say what impact election will have on economy. […]